Nupes is in the lead, but left spinners off will make a better total

join forces? Or go there every one in his corner? This is the kind of poll that won’t do the left’s affairs any good: a joint list from the left-wing Nupes coalition will take the lead in the European elections ahead of the National Assembly and Emmanuel Macron’s majority, but the sum of the left’s lists will be more important in the case of separate lists, according to Cluster17’s poll for “Le Point”.

Left parties united under the banner of Nupes in the June 2022 legislative elections are divided over the desirability of a common list for this first intermediate ballot for Macron’s second five-year term, scheduled for June 6-9, 2024. France’s Insoumise de Jean-Luc Mélenchon endorses it, But Europe’s Ecologie-Les Verts, in particular, has signaled its opposition several times.

The strongest left scattered but not in the lead …

According to this poll published on Saturday, the Nupes Joint List of LFI, EELV, PCF and PS will come out on top with 27% of the vote, ahead of the National Caucus (25.5%) and the presidential majority (23). %). It is followed, far away, by Les Républicains (8.5%), Eric Zemmour’s Reconquête (7%), Nicolas Dupont-Aignan’s Debout la France (DLF) (4%) and the Joint List Lutte Ouvrière (LO)-new anti-capitalist party (NPA). 2%.

In the case of separate left-wing lists, it is the RN party (24%) that will come out on top, ahead of the presidential majority, which will achieve a lower result (19.5%). But adding left scores, LFI (11%), EELV (11%), PS (9%) and PCF (4%), i.e. 35%, would be higher than those scored for the common list hypothesis.

In this scenario of separate left lists, Les Républicains would collect 7.5% of the vote, ahead of Reconquête (6.5%), DLF (3%) and the LO-NPA list (2%).

The survey was conducted via a self-administered online questionnaire from 17 to 19 May with a sample of 1,760 persons registered on electoral rolls (quota method). A margin of error of 1.7 to 2 points for results between 20% and 30%.