Even a few months ago, those who predicted that the war in Ukraine would drag on for so long were thinking about the summer of 2023, after the spring offensives on both sides. Today, we started thinking years ago, with at least one deadline in mind for Vladimir Putin: the US presidential election in November 2024.
If it was clear, then the Russian president would have understood that his army is not able to break the resistance of a better-equipped and more agile Ukrainian army than his own. The past few months have clearly demonstrated this, especially in Bakhmut, the “Ukrainian Verdun”, where Russian advances are paid the highest price. The Ukrainian General Staff chose to hold out as long as one formula was respected: an unfavorable balance of forces, but a favorable loss ratio. This is always the case: the Russian army, with its Wagner lieutenants serving as cannon fodder, loses
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