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Emmanuel Macron, four more years?

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All for this. On the battlefield of pensions, Emmanuel Macron is the victor, who won only at the cost of immeasurable losses. Suspicious opinion, psychological trauma to the National Assembly, record unpopularity … Less than a year after his re-election to the Elysée, his power flowed bloodless from social protest (still in progress!) and from the parliamentary raid that turned into a fiasco.

adopted by compulsory march, without being put to a vote in the assembly (Article 49.3 obligates), and “mother of reforms” They did not receive the democratic anointing. Badly conceived, badly sold, here commented for consideration by the CC. From compromises to corrections, the device has become unbreakable. It is even ineffective in accommodating or averting future deficits “financial risk” protested by the President to justify his final direction.

sequel after announcement

Vincent Martini: “The main failure of the great movement? A failure to create confidence.”

After passing nine oversight votes, Prime Minister Elizabeth Bourne – left behind by a group of LR MPs who preferred to please their constituents rather than their own – looks very diminished. A l’heure de la motion fatidique, les députés macronistes, écoeurés, n’ont guère soutenu cette cheffe du gouvernement venue de la gauche sociale-démocrate for faire accoucher, dans la douleur, une réforme de droite… sans obtenir le renfort decisif de right. Faced with such chaos, the presidential camp sank into depression. How does it last four more years?

By chaining Parliament, Emmanuel Macron only destroyed the advantages granted to him by the V Constitution.H Republic. On paper, he can claim legitimacy. But its legitimacy is more disputed than ever. What happened to his commitment “to control differently” Announced by the evening of the second round of the presidential elections? The majority of our compatriots consider him the person who was elected in a row ” break “ then “by default” Against Marine Le Pen, crystallized public discontent. The majority of workers turn their backs on it. Its social base is withering.

No compromise, no alliance possible

To defer to the sovereign people, the President may dissolve the Assembly. But he doesn’t even think about it: the cunning deputies, already under police protection, will be the first expiatory victims of the crisis. And who takes over? The traditional government parties – PS and LR – do not cease to sink. No alternative majority is emerging. Public opinion, like national representation, is divided into three disparate currents: hostile third parties; The cunning liberals, anti-capitalists of the Ecological and Social Union of the New People (Nupes) and the identities in the National Assembly (RN) disenfranchise each other. No middle ground, no arrangement, no alliance possible. In Hemiciky, discussion turns into hustle and bustle.

Emmanuel Macron is currently ruling out the change of prime minister. What is the benefit? After skipping the House, none of his projects, starting with immigration law or institutional reform, seem able to muster a majority. When the line contribution is not, it is the reformist left that will be absent. And there is no indication that a social conference on senior hiring, the four-day week or the global time savings account will bring unions back to the negotiating table.

Already the presidential election of 2027 “without Macron » He haunts. On the right, the ambitions of Xavier Bertrand or Laurent Walkez partly explain the defection of parliamentarians who said no to retiring at 64. The question for these presidential candidates and their partners in the Palais Bourbon was above all not to appear responsible for such a turn of the screw. The Nupes, dominated by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, did everything to hinder parliamentary debate and regain control of the social movement by promising to retire at the age of 60. Even if it means leaving Marine Le Pen, once again, to assert herself as a plausible alternative to the regression of the great fad. When I elected… », as you say. The crisis of the system is ahead.

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